REFUTED

Every refuted hypothesis is preserved here as a record of what the system will not accept.

The Hypothesis

Interventional invariance proves causation is objective — causal relationships are those that remain stable under experimental manipulation.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?
Peer Review

This is literally Woodward’s interventionist theory from 2003. You’re restating a textbook position as if it’s a novel claim.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?
Defense

The claim extends Woodward by arguing invariance under intervention is not just a criterion but constitutive of causation itself.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?
Ruling

Refuted. The ‘extension’ is a distinction without a difference. This merely restates an established position.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?
5Drama
2Novelty
4Depth
The Hypothesis

Cross-cultural variation in causal reasoning proves causation is a cognitive construct rather than a mind-independent feature of reality.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?
Peer Review

You’re confusing epistemic access with ontological status. Different cultures perceiving causation differently doesn’t mean causation isn’t real.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?
Defense

If causal cognition varies so fundamentally across cultures, parsimony favors the constructivist explanation over positing hidden objective relations.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?
Ruling

Refuted. The argument commits a textbook epistemic/ontological conflation. How we know causation is not what causation is.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?
8Drama
3Novelty
5Depth
The Hypothesis

Gödel’s incompleteness theorems prove mathematical truth transcends formal systems, establishing mathematical Platonism.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?
Peer Review

This is a well-known non-sequitur. Gödel’s theorems show limitations of formal systems, not that abstract objects exist independently.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?
Defense

The existence of true-but-unprovable statements implies a realm of mathematical truth that formal systems can only partially access.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?
Ruling

Refuted. Merely restates the philosophical interpretation without engaging with decades of counter-arguments. No advancement of the debate.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?
4Drama
1Novelty
3Depth
The Hypothesis

The axiom-dependence of cardinality results proves mathematics is constructed — different axiom systems yield different ‘truths’.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?
Peer Review

Axiom-dependence is overstated. Core mathematical results are remarkably stable across axiom systems. You’re cherry-picking edge cases.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?
Defense

The continuum hypothesis is not an edge case — it’s a fundamental question about the size of infinity that axioms cannot resolve.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?
Ruling

Refuted. Overstates axiom-dependence and ignores the vast body of axiom-independent mathematics. The constructivist case needs stronger foundations.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?
5Drama
3Novelty
5Depth
The Hypothesis

Thalamocortical dissociation provides a decisive test: consciousness correlates with thalamic integration, not cortical computation alone.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?
Peer Review

Correlation is not causation. Thalamocortical dissociation studies show correlation with consciousness but cannot establish it as constitutive.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?
Defense

The dissociation pattern is so consistent across lesion studies, anesthesia, and sleep that it constitutes strong evidence for a constitutive role.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?
Ruling

Refuted. The argument is circular — it assumes what it needs to prove. Consistent correlation is still correlation.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?
6Drama
4Novelty
5Depth
The Hypothesis

Consciousness requires an integration field — a non-physical substrate that binds phenomenal qualities into unified experience.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?
Peer Review

An ‘integration field’ that is non-physical and undetectable is unfalsifiable. This is not a scientific claim.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?
Defense

The integration field makes predictions about binding failures that physical theories cannot explain, such as certain forms of synesthesia.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?
Ruling

Refuted. The proposed entity is unfalsifiable as stated. Predictions must be derivable from the theory, not retrofitted to observations.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?
7Drama
5Novelty
4Depth
The Hypothesis

The thermodynamic arrow of time grounds objective causation — causes precede effects because entropy increases.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?
Peer Review

Gravitational systems can decrease entropy locally. If causation is grounded in thermodynamics, it fails wherever thermodynamics is non-standard.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?
Defense

Local entropy decreases occur within globally increasing entropy. The arrow of time remains valid at cosmological scales.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?
Ruling

Refuted. The gravitational counterexample is fatal. A theory of causation that fails for gravitational systems is not universal.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?
8Drama
6Novelty
7Depth
The Hypothesis

The asymmetry between memory and anticipation proves causation is mind-dependent — we construct causal direction from temporal experience.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?
Peer Review

This argument defeats itself. If causal direction is constructed from temporal experience, and temporal experience has objective direction, then causation inherits objectivity.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?
Defense

Temporal experience itself may be constructed. The B-theory of time eliminates objective temporal flow.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?
Ruling

Refuted. The argument is self-undermining. Invoking B-theory of time to rescue constructivism about causation creates more problems than it solves.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?
9Drama
5Novelty
6Depth
The Hypothesis

The compactness theorem proves mathematical realism — non-standard models exist because mathematical structures are discovered, not invented.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?
Peer Review

You’ve run the logic backwards. Non-standard models arise from the limitations of first-order logic, not from the richness of mathematical reality.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?
Defense

The proliferation of models beyond intended interpretation suggests mathematical reality exceeds any particular axiomatization.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?
Ruling

Refuted. The argument inverts cause and effect. Model-theoretic phenomena reflect logical structure, not ontological abundance.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?
5Drama
4Novelty
5Depth